Autumn Honeymoon

Lake Harriet. Photo: MORC weather blog fan, Jessica Burgstahler

Autumn weather doesn’t get much better than this.  We’ve only had three days worth of measurable rain this month, making it the driest September since 1882.  The trails are dry, dusty and fast which is a product of Minnesota’s expanding drought.  Minnesota rivers are measuring extremely low water levels and small creeks and streams are showing exposed bedrock.  Even Minnehaha Falls has all but dried up with the recent dry weather.

A few folk are sitting out beneath the dry outcrop at the falls. Photo: WNTV Meteorologist Addison Green

Currently 70% of the state is in a moderate drought or worse.  Every single county in the state is in some form of a drought with the exception being Cook County in extreme northeastern Minnesota.

With the fall foliage just about at peak color in the metro, the brushfire danger will stay elevated as there will be plenty of dead leaves and dry vegetation on the ground.  Just this week, firefighters responded to a grass fire just off the side of the road on I-94.

This dry and relatively warm weather lingers into the middle of next week.  A rude awakening arrives by Wednesday, however, as a Canadian front reminds us that it’s still Fall.  Temperatures could go from the mid 70s to the 30s in a 48 hour period.  Lucky for us, the temperatures look to slowly moderate again by next weekend.

Surface temps next Tuesday showing mid 70s to 80 degrees.  Low pressure over North Dakota will swing a real cold front through Wednesday ending out weather honeymoon.

Surface temps next Tuesday showing mid 70s to 80 degrees. Low pressure over North Dakota will swing a real cold front through by Thursday ending our weather honeymoon.

Next chance of rain will be Thursday with temperatures drastically dropping into the 30s and 40s.

CycleCast

Saturday: A great day for the Open Streets MPLS at Upton Ave and 4th Street. H: mid 70s

Sunday: Mostly sunny. H: mid 80s

Monday: Partly sunny. H: low 70s

Tuesday: Fantastic riding weather continues…H: mid 70s

Wednesday: Increasing clouds, showers arrive late…a sign of changes to come. H: near 60

While it may cool down late next week, the long range computer models are hinting at a warmer than average start to winter.  Much of Minnesota has a 40% chance of receiving above normal temperatures from October through December.

Beside great biking weather, another benefit of the dry weather has been a lower tornado count nationwide.  So far, 757 tornadoes touched down nationally from January 1 through September 21.  This year’s tornado count is significantly lower compared to last years 1692 tornadoes.

Across the country there have been 28 reports of tornadoes this September which is well below normal.  The record lowest tornado count in September was in 1952 when only one tornado was reported.

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